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Home News Hotel News IHG H1 2026 RevPAR Growth Slows Amid Middle East Conflict

IHG H1 2026 RevPAR Growth Slows Amid Middle East Conflict

IHG H1 2026 Room Revenue Growth Slows Amid Iran War Impact
Image: DSC01184 - Château Montebello by archer10 (Dennis) via flickr, by-sa

Intercontinental Hotels Group (IHG) reported a 4.1% increase in global revenue per available room (RevPAR) during the first half of 2026, supported by system growth and margin expansion, according to TradingView. The company experienced gross system growth of 6.5% and net system growth of 5% year-over-year, with hotel openings and signings each rising 8% organically.

Quarterly Growth Trends and Regional Variations

Q2 2026 showed a slowdown in global RevPAR growth to 3.5%, down from 4.4% in Q1, impacted notably by regional disparities. The United States saw a 5.4% rise in RevPAR in Q2, benefiting from increased business, leisure, and group demand, as well as a World

Cup-related lift estimated at 100 basis points in the quarter. China’s RevPAR growth decreased sharply from 5.7% in Q1 to 0.8% in Q2, attributed to early-quarter travel pulled forward by an extended Chinese New Year and new school holidays.

China Market Performance and Expansion

IHG’s China operations expanded to approximately 900 open hotels by mid-2026, with potential to reach 1,000 by year-end and about 600 additional hotels under development. China’s RevPAR increased 3.1% in H1 2026, while profits rose 25% year-over-year. CEO Elie Maalouf noted strong performance in Tier 1 cities, Hong Kong, Taiwan, and Tier 4 leisure destinations, whereas Tier 2 and Tier 3

cities continued to face softness in business transient demand. He emphasized no signs of oversupply and said new hotel capacity was being absorbed within IHG’s system.

Middle East Conflict Impacts and Outlook

The Middle East region, comprising about 5% of IHG’s global revenue within the EMEAA segment, experienced a 19% decline in RevPAR in Q2 2026 due to ongoing conflict peaked in March and April. Maalouf stated that disruptions to international travel flows from the conflict have been significant but expects this to be fully offset by growth elsewhere if current conditions persist. IHG’s regional development pipeline focuses on Saudi Arabia, Egypt, and Turkey.

Operational Strategies and Financial Performance

IHG expanded

its fee margin by 120 basis points and increased earnings before interest and taxes (EBIT) by 10% in H1 2026. Adjusted earnings per share grew 13%, supported by share repurchases. CFO Michael Glover reported a fee-growth triangulation improvement of approximately 40 basis points globally and 110 basis points in the U.S. The company aims to continue fee-margin expansion by 100 to 150 basis points over the medium to long term aligned with system revenue growth.

IHG is investing $200 million to $250 million in key money and maintenance capital expenditures in 2026. The firm is integrating artificial intelligence tools in

guest acquisition, marketing, revenue management, and customer relationship management, although quantifiable hotel cost savings from AI remain unmeasured at this stage.

Additional operational initiatives include lowering loyalty program assessments, increasing reward-night reimbursements, and reducing marketing and new-build expenses to improve hotel owner economics. A redesigned commercial services program in the Americas presently covers around 500 hotels and is expected to expand, lowering costs for 75% of participating hotels.

Executive Perspectives on Market Conditions

Elie Maalouf, CEO, stated, “While there are ongoing impacts from the Middle East conflict, including some wider disruption to international travel flows, we continue to expect these to be fully offset by

growth in demand elsewhere.” He also addressed the China market, emphasizing direct ownership control, selective deal-making, and removals related mainly to estate renewal or post-COVID market adjustments.

CFO Michael Glover indicated the company’s current 5% net system growth for H1 2026 surpasses consensus expectations near 4.7%, with potential to exceed them further.

Industry Context and Branded Residences Expansion

Group and leisure demand contributed to growth across IHG’s regions, with global business demand up 2%, leisure demand up 3%, and group demand increasing 6% in H1 2026. In the U.S., business demand was up 3%, leisure by 4%, and groups by 10%. The World Cup held across

the United States, Canada, and Mexico contributed about 100 basis points to U.S. hotel performance in Q2 and is expected to add roughly 40 basis points for the full year but was not viewed as a primary driver.

IHG’s branded residences business operated 35 hotels or residences across 19 countries, generating between $5 million and $10 million in fees in the prior year. The company anticipates this segment could become a substantially larger fee source starting in 2027 as ongoing projects move into sales phases.